Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-27/02/13

LEADER POST for Wednesday (27/02/13)

1.         Support is at about 5717 while resistances are at about 5780, 5806, 5840, 5882 and 5917. The two gaps yet to be filled are at 5727 and 5648. Four likely +WWs give about 5833 (once above 5796), 5879 (once above 5807), 5885 (once above 5816) and 5950 (once above 5805) (other +WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned presently). A falling channel can give about 6110 in case of a BO if nifty goes up and remains above 5830. Another falling channel can give 5838 in case of a BO above 5788. A falling wedge can give about 5870 in case of a BO above 5780. A bearish flag can give much lower level unless killed above 5800. A HnS can give about 5550 in case of a BD.

Nifty crashed and close below 5800 in line with the bearishness it displayed over the last few days. However, there is a mild +ve div on STS. If nifty closes above 5925, it may go up further. Only global clues and/or liquidity (including from DIIs) can save nifty. As mentioned in the previous posts, volatility is increasing as budget and expiry day approaches.

2.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 5801NF, TARGET 5825, SL 5771.

3.         If SL is hit, sell above 5762NF, target 5737, SL 5792.

4.         SL hit.

5.         SL of reverse trade hit.

6.         Nifty opened gap up and reacted immediately not only to fill the gap but also to visit yesterday's low to make a double bottom. It rose sharply thereafter to close +ve and also above yesterday's close. But it still made a lower high than yesterday (Nifty fut also made a lower low). The SLs of either side trades of 9.30 strategy were hit but neither side targets were met. The daily candle is a bullish Harami.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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