Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-16/07/13

LEADER POST for Tuesday (16/07/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5990, 5937 and 5882 while resistances are at about 6053, 6087 and 6100. A +WWs can give about 6066 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 5994 (once below 6014), 5954 (once below 6019) and 5949 (once below 6026) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A daily bullish flag can give about 6085 unless killed below about 5700.

Nifty rose again and closed above 6000 at a new high since 30/05 thereby nullifying bearishness hinted by Friday's hanging man. RSI is not oversold and weekly chart shows bullishness and hence nifty may not fall much. Intraday breach of 5950 should be taken as alert but a weekly close below about 5915 can cause further fall. Oil price and INR will remain key to the future of Indian markets in the short term. VIX and PCR are expected to remain high and can cause sharp swings. Only global cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.

2.         Pre-open data suggests an uncertain but possibly -ve nifty closing after a gap down open unless it remains above 5931 by afternoon.

3.         (NF) Open 6032 and low 5844.40. Such weird levels don't tell anything. I will try to post 9.30 strategy if chart data shows moderate levels. Targets of all the three -WWs of the first post met in the open itself.

4.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY BASED ON NS LEVELS, BUY BELOW 5940NS, TARGET 5973, SL 5910.

5.         Nifty opened down with a big gap but quickly started recovering. It made a lower high and low than yesterday (in fact the high was below yesterday's low) before closing +ve but below yesterday's close. The targets of all the three -WWs of the first post were met but that of 9.30 strategy was missed. The daily candle is like a morning star though it is not at the end of a downtrend. However, nifty fut candle is hammer due to freak levels during open.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

 

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