Saturday, July 06, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-05/07/13

LEADER POST for Friday (05/07/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5815, 5797, 5781 and 5739 while resistances are at about 5857, 5933 and 6038. The unfilled gaps on the higher/lower side are at about 5858/5682. Four +WWs can give about 5897 (once above 5833), 5904, 5941 (once above 5834) and 6043 (once above 5901) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 5826 (once below 5855), 5767 (once below 5860) and 5739 (once below 5920) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A weekly bearish flag can give a much lower level unless it gets killed above about 6012. A daily bullish flag can give a much higher level unless it gets killed below about 5700.

Nifty rose even after a gap up open and again closed above 5800 and also above 200sma. The daily an...d weekly charts show +ve divergence. If this week closes below 50 sma, which is presently at about 5747, it can cause further fall. Bulls can have hope if this week closes above 5747 and if Friday closes above 200 sma, which is presently at 5830. If Friday closes above 50 sma, which is presently at 5923, it will have bullish tone. Considering that a lot data, particularly the non-farm payroll data, is expected from US on Friday night, oil price and INR will remain key to the future of Indian markets in the short term. VIX and PCR are expected to remain high and can cause sharp swings. Only global cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.

2.         Likely levels on higher/lower side are about 6000/5951/5875 and about 5825/5756/5675.

3.         Nifty opened up with a big gap thereby filling up previous unfilled gap on the higher side. It made a higher high but could not sustain and reacted to make a higher low before closing -ve but above yesterday's close. The target of first +ww of the first post was met. The daily candle is like a evening star while weekly candle is like a hanging man. Today was also a NR7 day but not for nifty fut.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.


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