Monday, July 15, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-15/07/13

LEADER POST for Monday (15/07/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5980, 5950, 5939 and 5890 while resistances are at about 6040, 6062 and 6095. Two +WWs can give about 6072 and 6100 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Five -WWs can give about 5962 (once below 5986), 5950 (once below 5993), 5931 (once below 5970), 5925 (once below 5960) and 5873 (once below 5950) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A daily bullish flag can give about 6085 unless killed below about 5700.

Nifty closed flattish after a gap up opening but yet closed above 6000, giving strongly bullish signal. But, the daily candle is a hanging man, a bearish sign. However, RSI is not oversold and weekly chart shows bullishness and hence nifty may not fall much. Intraday breach of 5950 should be taken as alert but a weekly close below about 5915 can cause further fall. Oil price and INR will remain key to the future of Indian markets in the short term. VIX and PCR are expected to remain high and can cause sharp swings. Only global cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.

2.         Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a small gap down open unless it remains below 5991 by afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, SELL ABOVE 5984NF, TARGET 5960, SL 6014.

4.         If SL is hit, buy below 6026NF, target 6051, SL 5996.

5.         SL hit.

6.         Nifty opened down with a small gap and remained flat for a while before taking off. It made a higher high and low than those on Friday before closing +ve and also above Friday's close. The SL of 9.30 strategy was hit but target of reverse trade was not met.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.


 

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