Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-03/07/13

LEADER POST for Wednesday (03/07/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5830, 5805 and 5744 while resistances are at about 5879 and 5933. The unfilled gap on the lower side is at about 5682. Five +WWs give about 5879 (once above 5852), 5900, 5943, 5950 and 6008 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs give about 5844, and 5820 (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A weekly bearish flag gets killed above 6012.

Nifty reacted but managed to close above 5850. The immediate trend looks to be +ve but the short term trend is still bearish. The rally of last few days still looks more due to short covering than heavy fresh buying. The weekly chart shows +ve divergence. If 5935/5932 NS/NF is crossed, expect a mini rally and once above 5973, 6000/6040 is possible. Much higher levels are possible only in case of a close above 6134. At the same time, if nifty doesn't remain above 5879 on Wednesday, 5833 and 5791 are possible. A weekly close below 5730 can cause further fall. VIX and PCR are still high and can cause sharp volatility. Only global cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.

2.         PCR flat at 1.12 and VIX up at 18.21. Pre-open data suggests a -ve nifty after a gap down open unless it remains above 5812 by afternoon.

3.         Targets of both the -WWs of the first post met upon open.

4.         AS PER 9.30 STARTEGY, SELL ABOVE 5809NF, TARGET 5772, SL 5839.

5.         Target met without giving chance of an entry.

6.         Nifty opened down with a big gap and kept going down but it seemed to stabilise in the afternoon. It made a lower high and low than those yesterday before closing -ve and also below yesterday's close. The targets of both the -WWs of the first post were met as also the target of 9.30 strategy but without giving chance of an entry.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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