Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-09/07/13

LEADER POST for Tuesday (09/07/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5782 and 5767 while resistances are at about 5825, 5844, 5873, 5897 and 5927. The unfilled gaps on the higher/lower side are at about 5868/5682. Four +WWs can give about 5877, 5910 (once above 5819), 5934 and 5942 (once above 5829) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WW can give about 5720 (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A weekly bearish flag can give a much lower level unless it gets killed above about 6012. A daily bullish flag can give a much higher level unless it gets killed below about 5700.

Nifty recovered after a gap down opening and managed to close above 5800 but again below 200 sma and thus confirming the evening star of Friday and the hanging man of last week. The trend still appears to be bearish. Only if nifty closes above 50 sma (about 5922), it will give hopes to bulls. Oil price and INR will remain key to the future of Indian markets in the short term. VIX and PCR are expected to remain high and can cause sharp swings. Only global cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.

2.         PCR up at 1.19 and VIX up at 19.34. Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a small gap up open unless it remains below 5834 by afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 5860NF, TARGET 5894, SL 5830.

4.         Nifty opened up with a gap and went up to make a higher high but reacted immediately only to recover again. It made a higher low before closing +ve and also above yesterday's close. The total range was narrow at about 30 and hence none of the targets were met. The gap on upper side was narrowly missed from getting fully filled up. Today was a NR7 day again. The daily candle is like an evening star.

         The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.


 

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