Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-17/04/13

LEADER POST for Wednesday (17/04/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5676, 5617 and 5567 while resistances are at about 5711 and 5727 while previous crucial higher level to watch is 5755. Five likely +WWs give about 5721, 5764, 5800/05 and 5823 (other +WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three likely -WWs give about 5662 (once below 5683), 5627 (once below 5673) and 5542 (once below 5631) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A bullish flag can give much higher level unless killed below 5610. A rising wedge can give about 5555 in case of a BD below 5681. A IHnS can give about 5750 unless nifty goes below 5588.

Nifty rose sharply again and closed just below 5700, clearly indicating some bullishness. However, for a rally to start, nifty must close above about 5755. Bulls will hope that the improved fundamental situation in India in view of likely reduction in Current Account Deficit and inflation coupled with chances of higher rate cut by RBI will take market further up. Trade carefully since volatility will continue to be high. Only global cues and/or liquidity (including from DIIs) can take nifty further up.

2.         PCR up at 1.02 and VIX down at 16.25. Pre-open data suggests a +ve nfity unless it remains below 5676 by afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30STRATEGY, SELL ABOVE 5690NF, TARGET 5667/55, SL 5720.

4.         If SL is hit, buy below 5729NF, target 5753, SL 5699.

5.         SL hit.

6.         Today could be the day of SLs being hit on both sides.

7.         It will be volatile today after the rise of last 3 days.

8.         SL of reverse trade also hit. Now short again.

9.         Nifty opened up with a gap and made a higher low. It then fell sharply but made a higher low before closing -ve but flat w.r.t. to yesterday's close. The target of first +ww of the first post was met. However, SL on either side trades of 9.30 strategy was hit but neither side target was met. The daily candle is a likely evening doji star.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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