Wednesday, April 03, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-03/04/13

LEADER POST for Wednesday (03/04/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5734, 5724, 5710 and 5648 while resistances are at about 5758, 5775 and 5862. Previous higher levels to watch are 5758 and 5864. Three likely +WWs give about 5776, 5807 and 5825 (other +WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Five likely -WWs can give about 5730, 5674 (once below 5736), 5677 (once below 5722), 5662 (once below 5739) and 5658 (once below 5723) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned presently). Three falling wedges seem to have broken out and can give about 5770/5853/5945. Two bullish flags gives higher level unless killed below 5706/5640.

Nifty rose again and closed +ve though just below 5750, thereby defeating the bearishness of Monday's likely morning doji star candle. As long as nifty doesn't close below 5660/30, I feel nifty will go up in short term. However, any sustained upmove is possible only if nifty keeps taking out previous highs. Only global clue and/or liquidity (including from DIIs) can take nifty further up.

2.         PCR up at 1.03 and VIX down at 14.10. Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a slight gap down open unless it remains below 5740 till afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, SELL ABOVE 5727NF, TARGET 5703, SL 5757.

4.         If SL is hit, buy below 5764NF, target 5789, SL 5734.

5.         Target of first -ww met.

6.         SL hit.

7.         Today is the day when SL on both sides may be hit.

8.         SL on reverse side hit.

9.         Target of original trade met.

10.       Targets of all the five -WWs of the first post were met.

11.       Nifty opened flat and remained in a narrow range of about 28 points for almost five hours before falling sharply to make a lower high and low than those yesterday and closing strongly -ve and also below yesterday's close. The targets of all the five -WWs of the first post were met. But SLs on both sides of 9.30 strategy trades were hit before target of original trade was met.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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