Monday, April 08, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-08/04/13

LEADER POST for Monday (08/04/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5534, 5525, 5502 and 5409 while resistances are at about 5560, 5580, 5618, 5646 and 5688. Two likely +WWs give about 5566 (once above 5534) and 5653 (once above 5599) (other +WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A likely -WW gives about 5494 (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned presently). Two falling wedges and a channel can give about 5643/5734/45 if nifty breaks out above 5557.

Nifty fell again and just managed to close above 5550, thereby hinting at further bearishness. However, +ve div still persists on daily chart. Also, the daily candle is a likely morning star, a possible reversal sign. For confirmation of a reversal, nifty must close above 5608, preferably with a gap up open. Only global cues and/or liquidity (including from DIIs) can save nifty.

2.         PCR down at 0.81 and VIX up at 16.16. Pre-open data suggests a -ve nifty after a flattish open unless it remains above 5675.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 5542NF, TARGET 5592, SL 5512.

4.         Target of first +ww was met.

5.         Nifty opened flat, made a lower high and higher low (though nifty fut made a lower low) than those on Friday and closed -ve (as indicated by the pre-open data) and also below Friday's close. But the target of 9.30 strategy trade was not met as the total range was only about 32 points. The daily candle is an inverted hammer.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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