Monday, October 28, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-28/10/13

LEADER POST for Monday (28/10/13)

1.         Supports are at about 6125 and 6084 while resistances are at about 616 and 6278. Four +WWs can give about 6180/6187/6192 (once above 6130) and 6246 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 6032 and 5991 (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). Break down of few rising wedges/channels can give about 6030/5880/ 5825/5700 if nifty remains below 6171. Two falling wedges can give 6220/6250 in case of a break out above 6161.

Nifty closed below 6200 again and is at a crucial stage. A -ve div is seen on daily and weekly charts. The daily candle is a doji showing uncertainty. However, a +ve div has appeared on lower tf. If nifty takes out 6280, it may head towards an all time high. If it closes below 6030, it may fall much more. Oil price and/or INR can play spoilsport any time and will remain key to the future of Indian markets in short to medium term. VIX is still moderately high and can cause sharp swings. Only global/local cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up. Trade carefully, this being expiry week.

2.         Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a slight gap up open unless it remains below 6155 by afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, SELL ABOVE 6152NF, TARGET 6123, SL 6182.

4.         Target met.

5.         Nifty opened up with a small gap but reacted soon and kept going down till EOD. It made a lower high and low than those on Friday before closing -ve and also below Friday's close. The target of 9.30 strategy was met.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

 

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