Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-22/10/13

LEADER POST for Tuesday (22/10/13)

1.         Supports are at about 6175, 6130, 6086 and 6034 while resistances are at about 6260 and 6320. Three +WWs can give about 6226, 6246 and 6270 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 6135/05 (once below 6189) and 6012 (once below 6160) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). Break down of two rising wedges can give about 6130/6030 unless nifty continues to go up. A bullish flag can give higher level unless killed below 6186.

Nifty closed flat but above 6200. The daily candle is a hanging man and an evening star, likely bearish signs. Monday was also a NR4 day implying a larger range for Tuesday. Nifty must close +ve, preferably after a gap up open to defeat it. If nifty goes above the 52 week high of 6230 and then 6280, it may head towards an all time high. If it goes below 6130 and then 6030, it may fall much more. Oil price and/or INR can play spoilsport any time and will remain key to the future of Indian markets in short to medium term. VIX is still moderately high and can cause sharp swings. Only global/local cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.

2.         Pre-open data suggests a -ve nifty after a small gap down open unless it remains above 6193 by afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 6224NF, TARGET 6256, SL 6194.

4.         Nifty opened down with a gap but rose to make a higher high. It then fell but did not make a lower low. Finally it closed mildly +ve but slightly below yesterday's close. The total range was very narrow at about 39 points and hence none of the targets were met. Daily candle is a doji and Tuesday was a NR7 day.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

 

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