Friday, October 04, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-04/10/13

LEADER POST for Friday (04/10/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5875, 5820 and 5754 while resistances are at about 5918, 5950 and 6060. 200/100 dma are at about 5841/5807 while 50 wma is at about 5819. Four +WWs can give about 5970, 5980, 5995 and 6043 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give 5786/5744 (once below 5932) and 5853 (once below 5880) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). BO of a falling wedge can give about 6125 while BO of a falling channel can give 6030 if nifty if nifty continues to go up.

Nifty rose sharply in spite of a gap up open confirming effect of Tuesday's hammer and closed above 5900. There is now a +ve div on weekly chart. Nifty should close above 5946 on Friday to sustain the upmove. If it goes below 5820, it may fall sharply. Oil price and/or INR can play spoilsport any time and will remain key to the future of Indian markets in short to medium term. VIX is still high and can cause sharp swings. Only global/local cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.

2.         Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a gap down open unless it remains below 5891 by afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 5935NF, TARGET 5989, SL 5905.

4.         Target met without getting chance of an entry.

5.         Buy was triggered.

6.         Target of 9.30 strategy met after giving a chance of an entry.

7.         Nifty opened down with a small gap but rose sharply to make a higher high. However, it fell immediately but did not make a lower low. It then rose again to make another higher high before falling again to close mildly +ve but below yesterday's close. The target of 9.30 strategy was met twice, first without giving chance of an entry and later after entry was available. Daily candle is an inverted hammer while weekly candle is bullish piercing. Also, Friday was a NR4 day.

The week’s chart suggests that bullishness will continue further.

The intraday and week’s  charts of nifty spot values with 5 min candles are shown below.



 

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