Wednesday, September 04, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-04/09/13

LEADER POST for Wednesday (04/09/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5293 and 5240 while resistances are at about 5370, 5392, 5425 and 5497. Four +WWs can give about 5397 (once above 5363), 5421 (once above 5395), 5476 (once above 5442) and 5526 (once above 5470) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WWs can give about 5197 (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A rising wedge and a rising channel BD can give 5305/5125 if nifty goes down further.

Nifty tanked and close below 5350, killing any hopes that bulls had in the last few days. If 5250 is breached 5120 and lower levels are likely. Oil price and INR continue to play spoilsport and will remain key to the future of Indian markets in the short to medium term. Additional tension is the likelihood of a US attack on Syria. High VIX can cause sharp swings. Only global cues and/or liquidity can take save nifty.

2.         Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a small gap up open unless it remains below 5358 by afternoon.

3.         Target met before 9.30 once again.

4.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 5311NF, TARGET 5378, SL 5281.

5.         Targets of first two +WWs of the first post met.

6.         Nifty opened up with a small gap (though nifty fut opened down with a small gap) and kept rising. It did react midway but couldn't sustain and rose again. It thus made a lower high and low than yesterday before closing strongly +ve and also strongly above yesterday's close. The targets of first two +WWs of the first post were met as also the target of 9.30 strategy but without giving chance of an entry. Daily candle of nifty fut is bullish piercing though not of nifty spot.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

 

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