Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-13/08/13

LEADER POST for Tuesday (13/08/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5590 and 5565/5554 while resistances are at about 5661/5677 and 5695. The 100/200 wma are at about 5466/5440 while 200dam is at 5851. Five +WWs can give about 5730/5798 (once above 5593), 5757/5823 (once above 5624) and 5810 (once above 5600) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Four -WWs can give about 5583 (once below 5622), 5580 (once below 5610), 5556 (once below 5596) and 5508 (once below 5578). Three falling wedges/ channels BO can give about 5695/5805/6045 if nifty goes and remains above 5512/5560. A rising channel can give about 5510 in case of BD below 5600.

Nifty closed above 5600 but is not out of the woods yet. Also, the daily candle is a Doji and can imply reversal or consolidation. Hence, we could see some volatility and large swings. Higher levels are possible only if nifty closes above 5685. A close below 5500 can cause further fall. INR continues to play spoilsport and will remain key to the future of Indian markets in the short term. High VIX can cause sharp swings. Only global cues and liquidity can prevent further fall.

2.         Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a small gap down open unless it remains below 5600 by afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 5609NF, TARGET 5649, SL 5579.

4.         Targets of first two -WWs of the first post met.

5.         Target met without getting chance of an entry.

6.         Target of BO of first wedge of the first post met.

7.         Nifty opened down with a slight gap but that was the end of it. It rose sharply and kept rising making a higher high and low than those yesterday before closing strongly +ve and also strongly +ve above yesterday's close. The targets of first two -WWs of the first post were met also the target of BO of first falling wedge of the first post. However, target of 9.30 strategy trade was met without getting chance of an entry.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

 

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