Monday, March 04, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-04/03/13

LEADER POST for Monday (04/03/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5712, 5701 and 5692. The nearest gap yet to be filled is 5648. Also, 200 sma is at about 5550 and the previous low was 5548 in Nov '12 from where this rally started. Resistances are at about 5743, 5779, 5789, 5823 and 5887. Two likely +WWs give about 5779 (once above 5702) and 5846 (once above 5699) (other +WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A likely -WW gives about 5692 (once below 5729) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned presently). A HnS has broken down and can give about 5550 unless nifty goes up from here and remains above 5970.

Nifty recovered a bit and gave first confirmation of the reversal indicated by Last Engulfing Bottom candle of Thursday. Next confirmation will be if nifty closes above 5835. There is also a mild +ve div on STS and CCI on daily chart. Also, weekly candle did not break below 34 ema as mentioned in Friday's post. However, daily candle is once again a Harami but probably indicates consolidation rather than a complete reversal. Two unfilled gaps on higher side are at 5855 and 5943. Only global clue and/or liquidity (including from DIIs) can save nifty.

2.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, SELL ABOVE 5711NF, TARGET 5675, SL 5741.

3.         Target of -ww was met.

4.         Nifty opened gap down, went down further to make a lower high and low than those on Friday before recovering a bit to close -ve and also below Friday's close. The target of -ww of the first post was met. However, the target of 9.30 strategy trade was missed by 3 points though entry was not possible before that. The daily candle is a long legged Doji.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below. Unfortunately, chart for the first 80 min is not available due to problems with the website.

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