Thursday, May 02, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-02/05/13

LEADER POST for Thursday (02/05/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5901, 5878, 5861 and 5848 while resistances are at about 5939 and 5980. Previous lower and higher levels to watch are 5853 and 5971. (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two likely -WWs give about 5893 (once below 5926) and 5854 (once below 5932) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). Two bullish flags can give higher level unless killed below 5630/5895.

Nifty rose again to close above 5900. However, the daily candle is an imperfect hanging Man and a Doji, indicating uncertainty and a bearish sentiment, which will be confirmed if nifty closes well below 5830, preferably with a gap down open. The monthly candle, however, is bullish. Nifty now needs to close consistently above 5955. A close below first 5850 followed by 5790 may trigger further selling. Bulls will hope that the improved micro-economic situation in India will take market further up. Only global cues and/or liquidity (including from DIIs) can take nifty further up.

2.         PCR up at 1.08 and VIX up at 15.10. Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a small gap down open unless it remains below 5912 till late afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 5942NF, TARGET 5981, SL 5912.

4.         Target met without giving a chance to buy.

5.         Nifty opened down with a small gap (though nifty fut opened up with a small gap) and continued to go up relentlessly, making a higher high and low than those on Tuesday before closing strongly +ve and also strongly above Tuesday's close. It thus closed at a new high since 1st Feb. The target of 9.30 strategy was met easily but without giving a chance of an entry.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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