Monday, September 03, 2012

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-03/09/12

LEADER POST for Monday (03/09/12)

1.         The supports are at about 5246/44, 5232, 5228/26 and 5207. Also, there was a gap created at 5215 on 3rd August, which may be filled if nifty moves further down. Resistances are at about 5261 and 5304 while other previous levels to watch are 5352 and 5399. Two likely +WWs give about 5337/49 (once above 5356) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned). -WWs with lower levels are not mentioned presently. A likely inverted flag with 64 high mast gives lower level unless nullified above about 5280.

Nifty lost more ground on Friday and now seems to be in a mood to fill up the gap at 5215. On daily charts, it closed below 34 ema and 89 ema is at about 5215. The lower TL from June low also gives 5215. A daily close below 5234 will be bad. The long time resistance zone of 5170-90 is not far away and much lower levels are possible if global and domestic news becomes worse. On the upper side, a daily close above 5360 is a must to give hope. Liquidity is the only issue that will support market. The period till 12/13th sept looks turbulent.

2.         PCR at 0.90 but VIX up at 17.30.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 5307NF TARGET 5341/61 SL 5277.

4.         SL hit now target 5264/61.

5.         Nifty opened up with a small gap but that proved to be the only plus point for the day as it kept going down. It did attempt about 30 point recovery midway but could not scale the morning high and ended -ve and also slightly below the previous close. The SL of 9.30 strategy trade was triggered but the target of reverse trade was not met. However, the first support zone managed to hold.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below. However, unfortunately it is only from 12.30.


 

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