Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-12/11/13

LEADER POST for Tuesday (12/11/13)

1.         Supports are at about 6065 and 6015 while resistances are at about 6096, 6129, 6190 and 6234. Previous lower level to watch is 6032. Four +WWs can give about 6116/6147 (once above 6070), 6170 (once above 6120) and 6192 (once above 6089) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 6052, 5956 and 5922 (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). Break down of a few rising wedges/channels can give about 6030/5880/ 5825/5700 if nifty remains below 6170. BO of two falling wedge can give about 6280/6340 if nifty remains above 6106.

Nifty fell again and closed below 6100 and looks bearish. A close below 6030 may result in a bigger fall. However, a +ve div has appeared on lower TFs and some recovery is likely. Oil price and/or INR can continue to play spoilsport and will remain key to the future of Indian markets in short to medium term. VIX can cause sharp swings. Only global/local cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.

2.         Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a slight gap up open unless it remains below 6087 by afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, SELL ABOVE 6127NF, TARGET 6092, SL 6157.

4.         Target met.

5.         Target of first -ww met.

6.         Target of BD of first rising wedge/channel also met.

7.         Nifty opened up with a slight gap but started falling to make a lower high and low than yesterday before closing strongly -ve and also strongly below yesterday's close. The targets of first -ww and that of BD of first rising wedge of the first post were met. Also, target of 9.30 strategy was met.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

 

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