Thursday, May 16, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-16/05/13

LEADER POST for Thursday (16/05/13)

1.         Supports are at about 6125, 6081, 6044 and 5995 while resistances are at about 6175 and 6220. Previous higher level to watch is 6812. (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A number of small and big -WWs give about 6128 (once below 6152), 6104 (once below 6135), 6052 (once below 6113), 6024 (once below 6161) and 5960 (once below 6119) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A rising wedge break down can give about 5985 if nifty goes and remains below 6145. A bullish flag can give much higher level unless killed below 6045.

Nifty rose sharply and closed just below 6150 and gave a very bullish signal. However, a -ve div has appeared on daily chart and long holders need to be careful. Also, a very high value of VIX and PCR can cause sharp falls and rises as seen this week. Only global cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up. Once again, be careful of high volatility.

2.         PCR up at 1.25 and VIX up at 18.13. Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a small gap down open unless it remains below 6128 till afternoon.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, BUY BELOW 6161NF, TARGET 6206, SL 6131.

4.         Nifty opened down with a small gap but rose sharply to make a higher high and then remained in a range of about 33 points to make a higher low before closing +ve and also above yesterday's close. It thus made a new high since 16/11/10 and closed at a new high since 12/11/10. However, target of 9.30 strategy was missed by 8 points.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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