Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-10/04/13

LEADER POST for Wednesday (10/04/13)

1.         Supports are at about 5475, 5433 and 53560 while resistances are at about 5521, 5580 and 5658. A likely +WW gives about 5600 (once above 5497) (other +WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned presently). A Bearish flag can give much lower level unless killed above 5560.

Nifty fell sharply after making a higher high and closed below 5500, thereby hinting at further bearishness. Also, the +ve div on daily chart has been killed. However, the daily candle is an outside bar, a possible reversal sign. For confirmation of a reversal, nifty must close above 5537, preferably with a gap up open. Only global cues and/or liquidity (including from DIIs) can save nifty.

2.         PCR slightly up at 0.83 and VIX slightly up at 16.82. Pre-open data suggests a +ve nifty after a gap up open unless it goes below 5488.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, SELL ABOVE 5514NF, TARGET 5487, SL 5544.

4.         If SL is hit, buy below 5543NF, target 5571, SL 5513.

5.         Target of 9.30 strategy trade met.

6.         SL of 9.30 strategy trade was hit after reaching target.

7.         Target of reverse trade also met.

8.         Nifty opened up with a gap and reacted till afternoon to make a lower low. It rose sharply later but could not make a higher high. However, it closed +ve and also above yesterday's close. Volatility was so high that first, the target of 9.30 strategy was met then its SL was triggered and then the target of reverse trade was also met. The daily candle is a hammer.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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