Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Daily_Nifty_VP's View-15/01/13

LEADER POST for Tuesday (15/01/13)

1.         Supports are at about 6002, 5953, 5929 and 5913 while resistances are at about 6038, 6056 and 6100. Three likely +WWs give about 6046, 6073 and 6082 (other +WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three likely -WWs give about 5991 (once below 6015), 5969 (once below 6014) and 5966 (once below 6002) (other -WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned presently). Nifty seems to have broken out of a horizontal channel and a falling channel and can give 6055/6090 if it sustains. It has also re-entered a rising channel and can give 6100+ if it continues to go up. It should not, however, go and remain below about 6000. A bullish flag can higher levels unless killed below 6010.

Nifty rose and managed to close at a new high. If it goes below about 5925, it may go down further. The overall outlook had turned -ve since there is a -ve div on weekly chart. In days to come, therefore, it should make higher highs and lows before making and remaining above a new high to kill the -ve div and give a bullish signal. It is now near the top of the range 5945-6045 and we can see high volatility.

2.         PCR up at 1.07 and VIX up at 13.70. Pre-open high/low at 6081.45/6024.05 and close at 6037.85. This may indicate a -ve nifty after a small gap up open unless it remains above 6040 for an hour.

3.         AS PER 9.30 STRATEGY, SELL ABOVE 6045NF, TARGET 6013/5993, SL 6075.

4.         SL hit.

5.         Target of first +ww and bullish flag met.

6.         Falling channel BO target met.

7.         Nifty opened up with a small gap, remained flat within a range of about 25 till afternoon before taking off to make a higher high and low than those yesterday and closing +ve and also above yesterday's close at a new high. In the process the target of first +ww, bullish flag and BO of falling channel of the first post were met. Also, the target of second +ww was missed by 5 points. However, SL of 9.30 strategy trade was triggered but target of reverse trade was not met.

The intraday chart of nifty spot values with 5 min candles is shown below.

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